>>9970580>The first mistake was underestimating America's explosive rage and violent response
But that's the point. No self respecting nation would ever have made peace after a completely perfidious attack on one of their major naval bases and the deaths of thousands of their sailors, not unless they were facing serious devastation. The Japanese didn't so much as underestimate America's reaction as completely delude themselves in the face of basic common sense. All this: >The point of the invasion wasn't some nationalistic Nippon Banzai bullshit, it was to basically make them choose between an easy answer (sell us oil and stay fat and happy in your country) or a dramatically more extreme answer (enter a global war on two major fronts where one front will begin with a flattened navy, an unprepared and hastily scrambled together military, and a tremendous bill to be footed for this astronomically expensive war effort).
makes absolutely no fucking sense in the face of the inevitable American fury at temerity of the Japanese (a much weaker, and lets not forget non-white country) in attacking them in the first place, let alone doing so with a dastardly sneak attack. The reason the Japanese could believe such an absurd prediction of America's response to a strike at Pearl Harbor was because they were raised to believe that only the Japanese had that kind of martial spirit (or arrogant belligerence; po-tay-to, po-tah-to), and that America, as a soft, mercantile nation would sell their national honour for the most financially lucrative option.
They didn't underestimate America's industrial capacity, either. They knew full well that if America turned all its industry towards a war economy it would roflstomp Japan, but again, they deluded themselves into thinking that America simply didn't have the cajones to do that because they weren't Japanese.